On to the Next Disaster….

It was a really bad weekend for Global Warming Alarmists.  Hurricane Patricia, the “most powerful Hurricane ever recorded” came ashore between Puerto Vallarta and Manzanillo, and within hours was little more than a tropical depression limping across Central Mexico.  Being only 80 miles across, it didn’t need much room to completely miss major population centers, and trying to climb right up the Sierra Madre Occidental was the end of her.

So now, the warmists are 0 for 2.  Joaquin turned out to be a lot of rain.  Yes, a few people lost their lives because they were caught in flash flooding,  But the death toll barely rivaled an average weekend in Chicago, and the news media quickly lost interest.  Without lingering images of flooded neighborhoods, and with no Republican Administration in Washington to blame, the MSM has already moved on.  Joaquin?  What Joaquin?

Patricia was even more of a bust.  The body count so far from this latest “Global Warming Disaster” is hovering around ZERO.  That’s right, so far no deaths have been attributed to the storm.  So the media moves on.

With Hurricane Season quickly petering out, the Global Warming Conference in Paris next year looks to be a little thin of disasters.  Warmer, after all, is really better for everyone concerned.  The idea that we can keep the temperature from changing – even “limiting by legally binding agreements” how much warming takes place – is a ludicrous mania and a pipe dream!  If these people truly believed what they preach, the conference would be a VIRTUAL conference anyway.  I don’t believe they believe – let alone what I believe!

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Gaining a Perspective on Magnitude

When I read the latest tripe on Global Warming* the new weasel argument is to talk about numbers out of context.  For example, people talk about “adding three Hiroshima bombs per second of extra energy” to the ocean as a result of the CO2 levels in the atmosphere.  Wow.  That sounds scary.  Three extra bombs.  Per second.

Out of Context

So, how much energy is that exactly?  I mean, how many “Hiroshima” bombs per second NORMALLY go into the ocean per day from sunlight?  Energy is typically measured in Joules.  That Hiroshima bomb, for example, measured in at 63 Terajoules (63 trillion joules).  According to wikipedia, the earth receives approximately 174 petawatts from the sun, of which approximately 70% is not reflected, making for 121.8 petawatts.  121.8 petawatts = 121.8 petajoules / second.  121.8 petajoules = 121,800 terajoules.  So the earth receives about 1933.3 Hiroshima Bombs per second of energy.  Let that sink in while I check my math.  121.8e15 / 63e12 = 1933.3.  Yep.

So we’re worried about an extra 0.15 % power change.  Of course, while they deny using the metaphor to “scare” people, nothing is scarier than atomic bombs!  Now, if they said “we’ve detected what we believe to be an extra 0.15% change in energy in the atmospheric system, and we have to radically change our world energy structure at a cost of TRILLIONS of dollars…”  that would be scary!

How Big a Temperature Increase?

So, as the “heat content” of the Ocean rises by “3 Hiroshima Bombs” a day, what is the actual temperature increase caused by all that energy?  Well, it must be massive!  It’s hiding, you know, waiting to jump out at us without warning and say “gotcha!”  And it’s massive – I mean, it’s 3 Hiroshima Bombs a second EVERY DAY!  HUGE!

Well, again, luckily, someone has done some calculations, and it turns out that adding 3 Hiroshima Bombs to the ocean every second for 10 years produces a…wait for it…. point 1 degree Centigrade (0.1 C ) rise!  That’s right, people – we’re all going to die now!  This is why people state the numbers in Terajoules and Hiroshima Bombs.  You tell people about BIG NUMBERS and dangerous BOMBS, and you can get them to panic and beg you to save them.  You tell people numbers they understand, and all of a sudden it’s not quite the scary bogeyman you need to extract their money from their wallets.

Never mind that we have only 150 years TOTAL data measured with any scientifically accurate instruments, or that we have less than 100 years of world wide coverage, or less than 50 years of satellite data, so making comparisons to the past is impossible.  Oh yeah, ignore the fact that they keep massaging the data (torturing it) to get it to show warming.  It’s all “settled science.”

Apocalypse Never

So, as hurricanes continue to miss the US Coast, and tornado activity in the Midwest continues to be less than “extreme,” as CO2 gets pumped into the atmosphere by India and China at rates that will dwarf the US’s paltry and declining contribution to “greenhouse” gasses, I’m not going to be all that concerned.  You see, there’s LOTS of room in the oceans, and there’s lots of room in the atmosphere, and every year of increasing CO2 results in LESS warming (CO2’s effects are logarithmic – something I’m going to make you look up on your own), and things are generally getting better meteorologicaly.  Life likes warmth – always has, probably always will, and more people die from cold events in winter than heat waves in summer.

CO2 Causes Warming, NOT “Climate Change”

Because the world has not warmed for 17 years, econuts and warmunists have taken to calling the condition whereby man burns CO2 and affects the weather “Climate Change.” Don’t let them do it.

CO2 Can Only Warm

The only effect that CO2 can have on our atmosphere is to warm it.  CO2 does not cause any other atmospheric disturbance.  Therefore, when people claim that CO2 and other greenhouse gasses (GHGs) cause “Climate Change,” correct them.  Don’t let them bait and switch the conversation.  Climate always changes, and research had not proven yet that some “radical state change” in the climate at the end of the 20th century, or pending in the 21st century, has in any way affected the overall climate on the planet.

Climate Deniers

Do we (being humans) affect the climate?  Yes.  It’s hard to change overall land use on the massive scales that we have without affecting the climate.  We’ve added massive amounts of humidity to the American Southwest.  We’ve changed dense forests to farmland.  We’ve built huge metropolises that no longer have the same warming and cooling characteristics as the forest and plains they replaced.  It’s called adaptation.  We change our environment to suit us – kinda what makes us human, you know?  Nobody with any sense at all denies man has an influence on the climate.  For good or for bad, climate changes and we change with it and sometimes change it.

“Climate Deniers” is a term invented by warming alarmists, however, to set up a straw man.  It’s summarizing opposition as being in “denial,” like Holocaust deniers.  Don’t let them do that either.  It’s simplistic, and is a tactic used by the weak of mind.

Climate Models Don’t Predict

No matter how hard they try, 97% of all climate models are WRONG.  They’ve completely missed the “pause” in global warming.  Does that mean they’re completely wrong?  No.  They are useful models for teaching us what we know, and more importantly, what we don’t know about climate.  But I wouldn’t wager $10 on any one of their 10 year “simulation” runs.  Why we want to bet TRILLIONS on those runs is beyond me.

In summary – don’t be a “Climate Change Denier,” it’s a silly position.  But don’t let someone else declare it’s about “Climate Change.”  If it’s not WARMING, CO2 is not the problem!

It’s Summer – so now Weather = Global Warming

Remember a couple of years ago, when snow blanketed nearly 70% of the nation in record amounts? When Al Gore actually had to cancel a Global Warming Conference because of cold and snowy weather? What were we told? “It’s just weather.”

Now, with the country broiling under an extreme heat event similar to the one that gripped Russia in 2010, we’re given the predictable line – “This is what we’re looking at from now on – Global Warming has arrived!”

Of course, only in the United States (England is having a miserably wet, cold summer), and only because it’s hotter than average (although how the year will finish out we have yet to see), but that doesn’t matter. Every time the mercury rises during the summer, we get hyperventilating Chicken Littles telling us all the world is ending unless we fly all the elites to some exotic location on our dime and let them talk endlessly about how to fix it – also on our dime.

One heat wave does not equal global warming, any more than one cold-snap equals the approaching ice-age. The truth is, we don’t have enough data to predict either right now, and the best models are already dead wrong about how much the temperature went up in the last decade.

Activists rely on our short memories, and our short attention spans. If this winter is a killer – record cold, record snow, and record power outages – expect not a bit of remembrance that they promised us “snow free winters” by 2010!