The media are breathlessly waiting at this time to find out which way the wind will blow. A few miles West, and Joaquin will turn into a major hurricane – possibly even category 4 – by the weekend and (they all hope) hit the Eastern Seaboard, bringing cataclysm and human suffering on a scale not seen since Hurricane Sandy combined with a Nor’easter over New York and New Jersey in 2012! A few miles East, and Joaquin will be the disappointment of the week, and life will go on.
The truth is, even Sandy was only a Category 2 Hurricane when it hit the US. No Category 4 or stronger hurricane has hit the East Coast since 2004 (Charlie), so this COULD be a major event coming. Could be. Maybe. If.
Could Be! Maybe! If!
I am not discounting the danger of a large storm. But after 10 years of drought, even the potential for rain makes many a man stand up and take notice. The media would be ecstatic if Joaquin makes it to Category 5 for landfall in North Carolina by Saturday! Could this be another Katrina?
A Dash of Cold Water
Cyclonic activity in the world is not trending one way or another. “Climate Change,” no matter what the alarmists may tell you, is not leading to an increase in strength, number, or duration of hurricane activity, and anyone linking this or any other storm to “Global Warming” is pulling your leg for political purposes. For those of us 1,000 miles from the storm, this is just a “pay attention, be ready to help” moment. For those on the coast – you get the great view of the ocean, you deal with hurricanes. Get ready, and get over it.