Gaining a Perspective on Magnitude

When I read the latest tripe on Global Warming* the new weasel argument is to talk about numbers out of context.  For example, people talk about “adding three Hiroshima bombs per second of extra energy” to the ocean as a result of the CO2 levels in the atmosphere.  Wow.  That sounds scary.  Three extra bombs.  Per second.

Out of Context

So, how much energy is that exactly?  I mean, how many “Hiroshima” bombs per second NORMALLY go into the ocean per day from sunlight?  Energy is typically measured in Joules.  That Hiroshima bomb, for example, measured in at 63 Terajoules (63 trillion joules).  According to wikipedia, the earth receives approximately 174 petawatts from the sun, of which approximately 70% is not reflected, making for 121.8 petawatts.  121.8 petawatts = 121.8 petajoules / second.  121.8 petajoules = 121,800 terajoules.  So the earth receives about 1933.3 Hiroshima Bombs per second of energy.  Let that sink in while I check my math.  121.8e15 / 63e12 = 1933.3.  Yep.

So we’re worried about an extra 0.15 % power change.  Of course, while they deny using the metaphor to “scare” people, nothing is scarier than atomic bombs!  Now, if they said “we’ve detected what we believe to be an extra 0.15% change in energy in the atmospheric system, and we have to radically change our world energy structure at a cost of TRILLIONS of dollars…”  that would be scary!

How Big a Temperature Increase?

So, as the “heat content” of the Ocean rises by “3 Hiroshima Bombs” a day, what is the actual temperature increase caused by all that energy?  Well, it must be massive!  It’s hiding, you know, waiting to jump out at us without warning and say “gotcha!”  And it’s massive – I mean, it’s 3 Hiroshima Bombs a second EVERY DAY!  HUGE!

Well, again, luckily, someone has done some calculations, and it turns out that adding 3 Hiroshima Bombs to the ocean every second for 10 years produces a…wait for it…. point 1 degree Centigrade (0.1 C ) rise!  That’s right, people – we’re all going to die now!  This is why people state the numbers in Terajoules and Hiroshima Bombs.  You tell people about BIG NUMBERS and dangerous BOMBS, and you can get them to panic and beg you to save them.  You tell people numbers they understand, and all of a sudden it’s not quite the scary bogeyman you need to extract their money from their wallets.

Never mind that we have only 150 years TOTAL data measured with any scientifically accurate instruments, or that we have less than 100 years of world wide coverage, or less than 50 years of satellite data, so making comparisons to the past is impossible.  Oh yeah, ignore the fact that they keep massaging the data (torturing it) to get it to show warming.  It’s all “settled science.”

Apocalypse Never

So, as hurricanes continue to miss the US Coast, and tornado activity in the Midwest continues to be less than “extreme,” as CO2 gets pumped into the atmosphere by India and China at rates that will dwarf the US’s paltry and declining contribution to “greenhouse” gasses, I’m not going to be all that concerned.  You see, there’s LOTS of room in the oceans, and there’s lots of room in the atmosphere, and every year of increasing CO2 results in LESS warming (CO2′s effects are logarithmic – something I’m going to make you look up on your own), and things are generally getting better meteorologicaly.  Life likes warmth – always has, probably always will, and more people die from cold events in winter than heat waves in summer.

CO2 Causes Warming, NOT “Climate Change”

Because the world has not warmed for 17 years, econuts and warmunists have taken to calling the condition whereby man burns CO2 and affects the weather “Climate Change.” Don’t let them do it.

CO2 Can Only Warm

The only effect that CO2 can have on our atmosphere is to warm it.  CO2 does not cause any other atmospheric disturbance.  Therefore, when people claim that CO2 and other greenhouse gasses (GHGs) cause “Climate Change,” correct them.  Don’t let them bait and switch the conversation.  Climate always changes, and research had not proven yet that some “radical state change” in the climate at the end of the 20th century, or pending in the 21st century, has in any way affected the overall climate on the planet.

Climate Deniers

Do we (being humans) affect the climate?  Yes.  It’s hard to change overall land use on the massive scales that we have without affecting the climate.  We’ve added massive amounts of humidity to the American Southwest.  We’ve changed dense forests to farmland.  We’ve built huge metropolises that no longer have the same warming and cooling characteristics as the forest and plains they replaced.  It’s called adaptation.  We change our environment to suit us – kinda what makes us human, you know?  Nobody with any sense at all denies man has an influence on the climate.  For good or for bad, climate changes and we change with it and sometimes change it.

“Climate Deniers” is a term invented by warming alarmists, however, to set up a straw man.  It’s summarizing opposition as being in “denial,” like Holocaust deniers.  Don’t let them do that either.  It’s simplistic, and is a tactic used by the weak of mind.

Climate Models Don’t Predict

No matter how hard they try, 97% of all climate models are WRONG.  They’ve completely missed the “pause” in global warming.  Does that mean they’re completely wrong?  No.  They are useful models for teaching us what we know, and more importantly, what we don’t know about climate.  But I wouldn’t wager $10 on any one of their 10 year “simulation” runs.  Why we want to bet TRILLIONS on those runs is beyond me.

In summary – don’t be a “Climate Change Denier,” it’s a silly position.  But don’t let someone else declare it’s about “Climate Change.”  If it’s not WARMING, CO2 is not the problem!

What’s a few words between friends?

President Obama, for the 2nd time, has determined that the “words” of a law are less important than the political realities surrounding the upcoming mid-term elections. Apparently, dates that appear in laws are “open to interpretation,” even though they appear to be hard and fast dates. Obviously, the possibilities are endless.

Election Day is just a “Date”

Suppose, for example, that Election Day is seen as inconvenient. Is is, after all, just a date – and the need to protect the population from the inconvenience or pain of elections is obviously a sufficient reason to ignore, or delay, such dates.

The same could be said for Inauguration Day. Put it off a couple of years – what’s the big deal? Statutory dates are now open for interpretation anyway. If Obama wishes to put off the inauguration of the next president until 2027, what’s to stop him? It’s just a date, and we need to protect the Citizenry from the pain and inconvenience of learning the new President’s name anyway.

A Rose by Any Other Name

My only question is – why are “dates” different from other parts of the law? I mean, a penalty is already a tax, and hard fast deadlines are just targets. Why can’t numbers be re-interpreted? Obviously they’re just words on paper. Rights enumerated in the constitution? Well, obviously people can bear arms – just not weapons. The Press only refers to printing presses operated by Responsible Journalists. “Unreasonable Search” is just a phrase designed to protect the guilty, and “Self Incrimination” is just a meaningless phrase.

According to Ancient Scripture, when a King issued a decree, the letter of the law had to be followed (c.f. Esther). If the king said something, the rule was it had to be followed. When the King said that his subjects could kill the Jews, he was unable to rescind that order. His solution was to pass another law allowing the Jews to defend themselves.

Apparently, Obama would have just ignored the rules. He’s more than a King. He is Judge, Jury, and Executioner – taking the role of Legislature and Judiciary all in one!

Some may claim this is to make the law “workable.” They are living in a dream world. The motivations are obvious to all but the most partisan of sycophants. If the Health Care Law, as passed, were being enforced as written, the Democrats wouldn’t stand a chance in the next 2 election cycles. The House, the Senate, and the Presidency would be solidly Republican.

And THAT would be President Obama’s legacy. So apparently, to avoid that disaster, the Constitutional Scholar feels it’s just more convenient to destroy the Rule of Law that forms the basis of the Republic.

“When a [ruler] becomes a tyrant, he thereby breaks the bond binding his subjects to him….” – Thomas Jefferson, 1776 The Musical

Abbot and Costello Meet the Bogeyman

Abbott and Costello had nothing on Obama and Kerry, as our current unfolding debacle in Syria shows.  I’m just not sure who’s the “straight man” in the new act.

A Red Line in the Shifting Sands

First, there was a “Red Line.”  A “Red Line” that Assad of Syria must not cross – or there would be severe, immediate repercussions that involved military action!  Sometime in August, the Obama Administration says that Assad crossed that red line – forces which may or may not have been under his control gassed civilians.  This was it – time for Obama to prove he was a man of his word.  However, a funny thing happened on the way to the airstrikes.

First, there was the whole problem of “proof.”  It was difficult to get actual, certifiable proof that Assad had, in fact, ordered (or even sanctioned) the chemical weapons attack.  In a country where there have been fake reports about atrocities on both sides, along with numerous real atrocities on both sides, and a constant flux about who is actually on who’s side to begin with, this was not a “slam dunk.”  The best the Obama Administration could muster, according to news reports, was that the NSA had intercepted a frantic call from a mid-level military commander in Assad’s regime to the chemical weapons unit that purportedly carried out the attack demanding to know why they had used chemical weapons.  Hardly “proof” that Assad knew about or sanctioned such an attack.

Russia, never one at this point to miss an opportunity to show up it’s good “friend” the USA, immediately rejected the US claims of Assad’s complicity.  Assad serves a political purpose for Putin, so they have a stake in making sure he isn’t overthrown (yet).  China is another one looking to play in MidEast politics, because nothing secures your bona-fides as a Superpower like getting mired in the Middle-East Conflicts.  China has also rejected the idea of military action on the part of the United States.

Britain, the holders of a “special relationship” with America, immediately and most un-impressively failed to pass a resolution supporting the use of force against Assad.  France first supported us, and then walked back the support.  Kerry went forward last week and claimed we have a lot of “Secret Supporters.”  Yes, that’s right – countries who’s support for us is so deep it must remain secret.

Obama, faced with a dwindling supply of allies, decided rather suddenly that if he couldn’t get NATO, or the UN, or the Arab League, or anybody else to support his decision that action must be taken, he would go to Congress and have them authorize the smallest of airstrikes.  Just a few well-placed bombs to “punish” Assad, but not really enough to affect the outcome of the current civil war in Syria.

A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Forum

Such a milktoast resolution might have passed muster, had not Obama run smack dab into Public Opinion – 72 percent of which is currently against doing anything at all.  The proposal started as “fire a few missiles, watch a few camels explode, have cake…” and has since become a discussion of how far is far enough without going too far while not tying the President’s hands and actually doing something significant.  Hawkish Republicans want a strike only if it furthers an agenda pointed at regime change in Syria.  Skittish Democrats want assurances that we are not committing to any sort of war.  Nobody wants to put boots on the ground, and everyone is worried that the people we are attacking are not necessarily the worst actors on the stage!

In this uncertain climate, where a filibuster is shaping up in the Senate and a failure to pass the resolution is almost a certainty in the House, Kerry gives Syria an out – a way of avoiding military attacks that Obama seems less and less eager to make alone.  It’s a “rhetorical” offer, we’re told later.  If Syria gives up control of all of its chemical weapons by the end of the week – something nobody in their right mind believes Syria will agree to – the US will cancel the airstrikes.

The problem with Secretaries of State making “rhetorical” offers like this should become immediately clear.  What if someone accepts the nonsense and irrational offer?  What if Syria actually says “Sure, we’d be willing to do that.”  What if Putin goes to Syria and sits down with Assad and appears to come home with that exact agreement.  What if they say “yes.”

Like an inept prosecuting attorney, John Kerry asked a question he didn’t know the answer to.  He thought he knew.  Conventional wisdom and common sense told him he knew.  I mean, EVERYONE knew the answer, right?

Apparently, someone forgot to tell Assad and Putin, one trying to hang on to his political and literal life, the other seeing an opening to reassert Russian prestige as a Middle East negotiator, that they weren’t supposed to say yes.  Assad is supposed to be a raving maniac who gasses his own people.  Putin is some “thug” ham-handedly pushing Russia back to a Cold War stance.  Neither is supposed to be this politically adept.  Neither is supposed to be clever enough to outwit Obama and Kerry!

So what is this?  Amateur Hour at the White House?  Kerry and Obama have just been outmaneuvered by a couple of hecklers who were getting a rise out of them.  This is the best we have?  Foreign Policy via “Off the Cuff Remark?”

“Playing the part of put-upon, misunderstood leader of a small, unimportant country this evening, Bashir Assad.  The part of the war-mongering, bullying, incompetent, ugly Americans will be Barak Obama and John Kerry.  The part of good-faith negotiator and worldly man about town will be played by Vladimir Putin.”

The net change in Syria over this entire fiasco?  ZERO – that’s the plot twist we should have expected…..

Taking a Stand of Our Own

Oh, the delicious Irony!  In case you missed it, The Journal News in White Plains, NY, has published an interactive map showing the homes of all people who hold firearms permits in 2 New York counties.  They obtained the list from FOI requests to the county clerks, and are currently preparing additional maps based on pending requests.

Reaction has not been all positive as you can imagine.  Complaints run the gamut from outrage at treating legal activity as if it were a sex crime (these are permit holders, not necessarily gun owners), to fears that criminals will target such people in search of firearms, to fears that some law enforcement personnel on the list now have their addresses published for criminals to attempt retributive strikes on their homes, to fears that some battered women who have armed themselves while hiding from their abusers are now exposed to further harassment and abuse, to fear that criminals, now knowing where the guns aren’t, will target the homes of those who DON’T appear on the list.

The one thing the paper claims it wanted – a discussion about guns in our society – is the last thing that is actually happening as a result of this publication.

So where’s the irony?

Calls are currently being made for a boycott – not of the newspaper itself, but of the newspaper’s advertisers.  Ironically, the “featured advertiser” at the Journal’s website this week is….wait for it….

http://www.lohud.com/section/navpromo

Target Logo

Target!

The store that uses a “bullseye” logo should now be firmly in the cross-hairs of believers in privacy and the 2nd Amendment everywhere.  They should be receiving e-mails, and phone calls, and a flood of negative feedback based on their support of what is clearly an attempt by the Journal to intimidate permit holders and paint them all as “nut jobs waiting to explode!”

The Sandy Hook shooter would NOT have appeared on this map.  He did not own a gun.  He was not a permit holder.  As a matter of fact, the one thing that might have helped the community have a “discussion” about his disposition was his mental health history.  Let’s see the newspaper get such information published without breaking Federal Privacy laws.

This is, of course, another irony.  The mentally deranged psychiatric patient who WOULD shoot up a school has more privacy rights than a law-abiding, mentally sound gun permit holder!

Let’s see how “committed” the Journal is when their revenue stream starts to dry up.  I wonder if the owners are willing to….ironically….”take a bullet” for the Editor In Chief when there’s no profit in it….

Another Four Years of This….

So Barack Obama, judged worthy to lead despite the overwhelming evidence against him, has been given another four years to….to do what?

What did he promise in his long campaign?  What exactly are his plans for America?

The Great Keynesian apparently is going to spend us out of this recession.  I’m thinking we’ve got another $6 to $8 Trillion dollars of debt to look forward too, and no sign that he is “bending” any curves.

My friends assure me that 30 million people who were not insured before will now have insurance, but I don’t see how that is possible.  I can’t believe that 30 million people are suddenly going to be able to afford health insurance when they couldn’t before, and I really don’t see there being 30 million people who were just “opting out” of buying health-care coverage and selfishly making the rest of us pay their bills.  It won’t get cheaper, because of all the new mandates regarding preexisting conditions and mandatory benefits, so what does Obamacare get us?  One step closer to England’s wonderful healthcare system, where they come up with great ideas like the LCP?

My friends assure me that we’ve had 32 months of job growth.  But it’s such anemic growth that it’s not even keeping up with the demographics of new workers coming of age.  The ranks of the unemployed and underemployed grow, and for many they are becoming increasingly unemployable – thanks in no small part to the policies of the Obama Administration, that says a kid you pay to sweep the sidewalk in front of your shop and do odd jobs must now earn the equivalent of $15.00 an hour in pay and benefits.  Sorry Tommy, I can’t afford you.

My friends tell me what a wonderful place the world will be now that we have a president who embraces Gay Marriage!  I’ve written extensively on this in another posting – but even so, is that really an issue that affects more than 3% of the population. Really?

The EPA is set to issue regulations that will stifle energy production in the United States and make our power grid less reliable.  Obama is keeping his promise that “electricity bills will necessarily skyrocket” under his administration, because wind and solar are just so much better for us than safe, reliable, and arguably more environmentally friendly coal, natural gas, and oil.  Cuisinarts of the air cutting down endangered bird species by the hundreds and thousands verses low-emission, reliable power.  No wonder we’re going to be shivering in the dark cursing those evil power companies that keep raising rates and providing less reliable service.  Just ask the people of England how that’s working out for them?

Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid remain on course for bankruptcy, insolvency, broke, whatever you want to call it – and the Obama Re-Election bid spent a year scaring current beneficiaries so badly that any meaningful “reform” is now out of reach.  The programs are projected to be less than 75% funded when I start drawing benefits in 20 years – hope you youngsters are ready for higher taxes on whatever jobs you DO find!

And now we’ll have “four more years” – of blaming a past President for the current problems that the new President’s polices can’t fix.  “Four more years” of failed leadership abroad as Al-Queida renews its strength in the strongholds of Afghanistan, and the newly fertile fields of Libya and Egypt.  “For more years” of “containing” Iran as they develop nuclear weapons.  “Four more years” of Trillion Plus deficits, no budgets from the Democrats in the Senate, and economic malaise.  “Four more years” of hearing how proud we are of this empty suit who spends more time on the Golf Course and Vacation than at National Security Briefings.

And “Four more years” of hearing how it’s all about “race,” and “Bush’s fault,” and the obstructionism of the Republicans.

“We aren’t broke!  We need $16 TRILLION Dollars to get BACK to Broke!”